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Thursday, November 03, 2005

With support like that, who needs lack of support? 

A snapshot of the front page of washingtonpost.com today at 11:53am:

Post-ABC Poll
Public Supportive of Alito
Supreme Court nominee has 49 percent of public's approval, a new survey finds.
– Richard Morin 9:35 a.m. ET


So the first thing that occurs to me is, what if the Post's evidence and conclusion here were presented in a different way? (i.e., in the way in which evidence and conclusion are usually presented in a logical argument: evidence followed by conclusion.)

If you had this evidence:
Supreme Court nominee has 49 percent of public's approval, a new survey finds.


Could you make this conclusion?

Public Supportive of Alito


No, you’d make this conclusion:

Public Not Supportive of Alito


(Isn't 49 percent, like, less than 50 percent, which usually is the threshold that needs to be reached to make statements about what "the public" -- i.e. the majority of the public -- feels about something?)

Did the Post have a conclusion (Public Supportive of Alito) before it had its evidence (Supreme Court nominee has 49 percent of public's approval, a new survey finds)?

Am I missing something?

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